I-Euro yehle ngaphantsi komlinganiselo xa ithelekiswa neDola

Isalathiso se-DOLLAR, esiye sanyuka ngaphezu kwe-107 kwiveki ephelileyo, saqhubeka nokunyuka kwayo kule veki, ibetha inqanaba eliphezulu ukusukela ngo-Okthobha 2002 ngobusuku kufutshane ne-108.19.

Ukususela ngo-17:30, Julayi 12, ixesha laseBeijing, i-DOLLAR index yayiyi-108.3.Us June CPI iya kukhutshwa ngoLwesithathu, ixesha lendawo.Okwangoku, idatha elindelekileyo yomelele, enokuthi iqinise isiseko se-Federal Reserve ukuphakamisa inzala ngamanqaku angama-75 (BP) ngoJulayi.

I-Barclays ipapashe imbonakalo yemali enesihloko esithi "Idola ebizayo sisimbuku sayo yonke imingcipheko yomsila", ebonakala ngathi ishwankathela izizathu zamandla edola - impixano phakathi kweRussia ne-Ukraine, ukunqongophala kwegesi eYurophu, ukuhla kwamandla emali okunokuthi kunyuse idola. ngokuchasene neemali ezinkulu kunye nomngcipheko wokudodobala koqoqosho.Nangona abaninzi bacinga ukuba idola inokuthi ixakeke kakhulu kwixesha elide, le mingcipheko inokubangela ukuba idola ligqithise kwixesha elifutshane.

Imizuzu yentlanganiso yomgaqo-mali we-Federal Open Market kaJuni, ekhutshwe kwiveki ephelileyo, ibonisa ukuba amagosa abondliwe akazange axoxe ngokudodobala koqoqosho.Ingqwalasela yayikukwenyuka kwamaxabiso (okukhankanywe ngaphezu kwamaxesha e-20) kunye nezicwangciso zokunyusa izinga lenzala kwiinyanga ezizayo.I-Fed ixhalabile kakhulu malunga nokunyuka kwamaxabiso aphezulu "emiliselwe" kunomngcipheko wokuhla kwezoqoqosho okunokwenzeka, okuye kwanyusa ulindelo lokunyuka kwamazinga obundlobongela.

Kwixesha elizayo, zonke izangqa azikholelwa ukuba i-DOLLAR iya kuba buthathaka kakhulu, kwaye amandla aya kuqhubeka."Imarike ngoku ibheja i-92.7% kwisantya se-75BP kwintlanganiso ye-Fed kaJulayi 27 ukuya kuluhlu lwe-2.25% -2.5%.Ukususela kumbono wezobugcisa, isalathisi se-DOLLAR siya kubhekisela ekuchaseni kwi-109.50 emva kokuphula inqanaba le-106.80, uYang Aozheng, umhlalutyi oyintloko waseTshayina kwiFXTM Futuo, uxelele iintatheli.

UJoe Perry, umhlalutyi ophezulu eJassein, uxelele iintatheli ukuba isalathiso se-DOLLAR sinyukele phezulu ngendlela enocwangco ukusukela ngoMeyi ka-2021, sisenza indlela ephezulu.Ngo-Epreli 2022, kwacaca ukuba i-Fed iya kunyusa amaxabiso ngokukhawuleza kunokuba bekulindelwe.Kwinyanga nje enye, isalathiso se-DOLLAR sinyuke ukusuka kwi-100 ukuya malunga ne-105, sabuyela kwi-101.30 kwaye savuka kwakhona.Ngomhla we-6 kaJulayi, yema kwinqanaba eliphezulu kwaye yandisa iinzuzo zayo kutsha nje.Emva kophawu lwe-108, "ukuchasana okuphezulu nguSeptemba 2002 ophezulu we-109.77 kunye ne-Septemba 2001 ephantsi kwe-111.31."Watsho uPerry.

Enyanisweni, ukusebenza okunamandla kwedola ubukhulu becala "oontanga", i-euro ibala malunga ne-60% ye-DOLLAR index, ubuthathaka be-euro bube negalelo kwisalathiso sedola, ubuthathaka obuqhubekayo be-yen kunye ne-sterling nabo banegalelo kwidola. .

Umngcipheko wokudodobala koqoqosho kwi-eurozone ngoku mkhulu kakhulu kune-US ngenxa yefuthe elibi kwi-Yuropa yoNgqungquthela phakathi kweRussia ne-Ukraine.UGoldman Sachs usanda kubeka umngcipheko woqoqosho lwase-US olungena kuqoqosho kunyaka olandelayo ngeepesenti ezingama-30, xa kuthelekiswa neepesenti ezingama-40 ze-eurozone kunye neepesenti ezingama-45 e-UK.Yingakho i-European Central Bank ihlala ilumkile malunga nokunyusa izinga lenzala, nangona ijongene nokunyuka kwamaxabiso aphezulu.I-Eurozone CPI yenyuka yaya kwi-8.4% ngoJuni kunye ne-CPI engundoqo kwi-3.9%, kodwa i-ECB ngoku ilindeleke ngokubanzi ukuba inyuse inzala nge-25BP kuphela kwintlanganiso yayo ye-15 kaJulayi, ngokungafaniyo nokulindela kwe-Fed yokunyuka kwezinga elingaphezulu kwe-300BP. kulo nyaka.

Kuyafaneleka ukukhankanya ukuba inkampani yombhobho werhasi yendalo i-Nord Stream yathi yavala okwethutyana imigca emibini yombhobho werhasi yendalo ye-nord Stream 1 eqhutywa yinkampani ukusuka kwi-7 PM ixesha laseMoscow ngoSuku lomsebenzi wolondolozo lwesiqhelo, i-RIA Novosti yabika ngoNovemba 11. Ngoku ukuba ukunqongophala kwegesi ebusika eYurophu yinto eqinisekileyo kwaye uxinzelelo luyakhula, oku kunokuba ngumququ ophula umqolo wenkamela, ngokutsho kwe-arhente.

NgoJulayi 12, ixesha laseBeijing, i-euro yawela ngaphantsi kwe-parity ngokuchasene ne-DOLLAR ukuya kwi-0.9999 okokuqala ngqa kwiminyaka engama-20.Ukususela kwi-16: 30 ngosuku, i-euro yayirhweba malunga ne-1.002.

"I-Eurusd engaphantsi kwe-1 inokubangela ii-odolo ezinkulu zokuyeka ilahleko, ibangele ii-odolo ezintsha zokuthengisa kunye nokudala ukuguquguquka," uPerry uxelele iintatheli.Ngokobuchwephesha, kukho inkxaso malunga neendawo ze-0.9984 kunye ne-0.9939-0.9950.Kodwa ukuguquguquka okwenziwa ngobusuku kunyuke ukuya kwi-18.89 kwaye kwandiswe imfuno, nto leyo ebonisa ukuba abarhwebi bazibeka kwindawo enokuthi ibekhona kule veki.


Ixesha lokuposa: Jul-13-2022