Idatha yomoya ibonisa ukuba ukususela ngoJulayi, i-US Dollar Index iye yaqhubeka iyancipha, kwaye ngomhla we-12, yehla nge-1.06% ngokukhawuleza.Ngaxeshanye, bekukho uhlaselo olumandla kunxweme nakwi-offshore RMB ireyithi xa kuthelekiswa nedola yaseMelika.
Ngomhla we-14 kaJulayi, i-RMB ye-onshore kunye ne-offshore iqhubekile ukunyuka ngokukhawuleza kwi-dollar yase-US, zombini iphakama ngaphezu kwe-7.13 uphawu.Ukususela kwi-14: 20 pm ngomhla we-14, i-RMB ye-offshore yayirhweba kwi-7.1298 ngokubhekiselele kwi-dollar yase-US, iphakama ngamanqaku e-1557 ukusuka kwi-7.2855 ephantsi kwe-30 kaJuni;I-yuan yaseTshayina ye-onshore yayikwi-7.1230 malunga ne-dollar yase-US, inyuke ngamanqaku e-1459 ukusuka kwi-7.2689 ephantsi kwe-30 kaJuni.
Ukongeza, ngomhla we-13, umlinganiselo ophakathi we-yuan yaseTshayina ngokuchasene nedola yaseMelika unyuke ngamanqaku angama-238 ukuya kwi-7.1527.Ukusukela nge-7 kaJulayi, isantya esisembindini se-yuan yaseTshayina ngokuchasene nedola yaseMelika inyuswe kangangeentsuku ezintlanu ezilandelelanayo zorhwebo, ngokunyuka okunyukayo kwamanqaku asisiseko angama-571.
Abahlalutyi bathi lo mjikelo wokuhla kwexabiso lotshintshiselwano lwe-RMB ngokusisiseko ufikelele esiphelweni, kodwa akukho nto inokwenzeka yokuguqulwa okunamandla kwixesha elifutshane.Kulindeleke ukuba indlela ye-RMB ngokuchasene nedola yaseMelika kwikota yesithathu iya kuguquguquka kakhulu.
Ukuncipha kwedola yaseMelika okanye ukunciphisa uxinzelelo lokuhla kwexabiso leYuan yaseTshayina.
Emva kokungena ngoJulayi, umkhwa woxinzelelo kwireyithi yokutshintshiselana kwe-RMB uye waba buthathaka.Kwiveki yokuqala kaJulayi, izinga lotshintshiselwano lwe-RMB elunxwemeni liphinde lanyuka nge-0.39% kwiveki enye.Emva kokungena kule veki, izinga lotshintshiselwano lwe-RMB ye-onshore liphule i-7.22, 7.21, kunye ne-7.20 amanqanaba ngoLwesibini (ngoJulayi 11th), ngokuxabisa kwansuku zonke ngamanqaku angama-300.
Ngokwembono yentengiselwano yentengiso, "intengiselwano yentengiso ibisebenza ngakumbi nge-11 kaJulayi, kwaye umthamo wentengiselwano yentengiso yendawo unyuke nge-5.5 yeebhiliyoni zeedola ukuya kwi-42.8 yeebhiliyoni zeedola xa kuthelekiswa nosuku lwangaphambili lokurhweba."Ngokohlalutyo lwabasebenzi bentengiselwano abavela kwisebe lemalike yemali yeBhanki yoKwakha yaseChina.
Ukolula okwethutyana koxinzelelo lokuhla kweRMB.Ngokwembono yezizathu, uWang Yang, ingcali kwiqhinga lotshintshiselwano lwangaphandle kunye nomphathi jikelele weBeijing Huijin Tianlu Risk Management Technology Co., Ltd., uthe, “Izinto ezisisiseko azitshintshanga ngokusisiseko, kodwa ziqhutywa ngakumbi bubuthathaka Isalathiso seedola zaseMelika.
Kutshanje, i-US Dollar Index yehla kangangeentsuku ezintandathu ezilandelelanayo.Ukususela kwi-17: i-00 ngoJulayi 13, i-Index ye-Dollar yase-US yayisezantsi kwinqanaba le-100.2291, kufuphi nomda wengqondo we-100, inqanaba eliphantsi kakhulu ukususela ngoMeyi 2022.
Ngokuphathelele ukuhla kwe-US Dollar Index, uZhou Ji, umhlalutyi we-exchange exchange exchange macro kwi-Nanhua Futures, ukholelwa ukuba i-US ISM yokuvelisa isalathiso esakhutshwa ngaphambili ingaphantsi kunokuba ilindelwe, kwaye i-boom yokuvelisa iyaqhubeka iyancipha, kunye neempawu zokucotha. kwimarike yengqesho yase-US evelayo.
Idola yaseMelika isondela kwinqaku le-100.Idatha yangaphambili ibonisa ukuba i-US Dollar Index yangaphambili yehle ngaphantsi kwe-100 ngo-Epreli ka-2022.
UWang Yang ukholelwa ukuba lo mjikelo we-US Dollar Index unokubuyela umva ungaphantsi kwe-100. “Ekupheleni komjikelo wokunyuka kwenzala yeFederal Reserve kulo nyaka, lixesha nje ngaphambi kokuba i-US Dollar Index ibe ngaphantsi kwe-100.76.Nje ukuba iwile, izakubangela umjikelo omtsha wokuhla kwedola,” utshilo.
Ixabiso lotshintshiselwano lwe-RMB kulindeleke ukuba libuyele ngaphantsi kwe-7.0 ekupheleni konyaka
U-Wang Youxin, umphandi kwiBhanki yaseChina yeZiko loPhando, ukholelwa ukuba ukuphindaphinda kwexabiso lokutshintshiselana kwe-RMB kunento yokwenza ne-US Dollar Index.Uthe idatha engeyiyo ifama isezantsi kakhulu kunexabiso elidlulileyo nelilindelekileyo, ebonisa ukuba ukubuyiswa koqoqosho lwase-US akunamandla njengoko bekucingelwa, nto leyo ethe yapholisa ulindelo lwemarike yeFederal Reserve ukuba iqhubeke nokunyusa inzala ngoSeptemba.
Nangona kunjalo, izinga lotshintshiselwano lwe-RMB kusenokwenzeka ukuba alikafikeleli kwinqanaba lokutshintsha.Okwangoku, umjikelo wokunyuka wenzala we-Federal Reserve awukapheli, kwaye inzala ephezulu inokuqhubeka nokunyuka.Ngexesha elifutshane, liya kuxhasa i-dollar yase-US, kwaye kulindeleke ukuba i-RMB ibonise ukuguquguquka okungaphezulu kwikota yesithathu.Ngokuphuculwa kwemeko yokubuyisela uqoqosho lwangaphakathi kunye nokunyuka kwengcinezelo ehlayo kuqoqosho lwaseYurophu naseMelika, izinga lotshintshiselwano lwe-RMB luya kunyuka ngokuthe ngcembe ukusuka ezantsi kwikota yesine Wathi.
Ukusukela ekususeni izinto zangaphandle ezifana nedola yaseMelika ebuthathaka, uWang Yang uthe, “Inkxaso yamva nje ye (RMB) inokuvela kulindelo lwentengiso lwezicwangciso zexesha elizayo zokuvuselela uqoqosho.
Ingxelo yakutshanje ekhutshwe yi-ICBC Asia iphinde yakhankanya ukuba iphakheji yemigaqo-nkqubo kulindeleke ukuba iqhubeke iphunyezwa kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka, kugxininise ekukhuthazeni imfuno yasekhaya, ukuzinzisa umhlaba kunye nokuthintela imingcipheko, eya kuqhuba i-estate. ukuthambeka kokuvuselelwa koqoqosho lwexesha elifutshane.Ngexesha elifutshane, kusenokubakho uxinzelelo oluguquguqukayo kwi-RMB, kodwa intsingiselo yezoqoqosho, umgaqo-nkqubo, kunye nokulindela ukungafani kuyacutheka.Ngexesha eliphakathi, umfutho weRMB's recovery trend uya usanda.
Lilonke, inqanaba loxinzelelo olukhulu ekuhlalutyweni kweRMB kusenokwenzeka ukuba lidlulile.U-Feng Lin, umhlalutyi ophezulu we-Orient Jincheng, uqikelele ukuba ukunyuka kwezoqoqosho kwikota yesithathu kulindeleke ukuba kuqiniswe, kunye nokwenzeka ukuba i-US Dollar Index iya kuqhubeka iguquguquka kwaye ibuthathaka kuyo yonke, kunye noxinzelelo Ukuhla kwexabiso le-RMB kuya kuthanda ukucotha kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka, nto leyo engabandakanyi ukuba kunokwenzeka ukuxabisa ngokwezigaba.Ngokombono wothelekiso olusisiseko, izinga lotshintshiselwano lwe-RMB kulindeleke ukuba libuyele ngaphantsi kwe-7.0 ngaphambi kokuphela konyaka.
Ixesha lokuposa: Jul-17-2023