Ukusukela kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka ophelileyo, imarike yotshintshiselwano lwangaphakathi yangaphakathi iye yaphuma kumaza e-DOLLAR eyomeleleyo kunye nemarike ezimeleyo ye-RMB eyomeleleyo phantsi kwempembelelo ye-Fed's interest rate yokunyuka okulindelweyo.
Nakumxholo we-RRR ezininzi kunye nokucuthwa kweqondo lenzala e-China kunye nokucutheka okuqhubekayo kokwahluka kwenqanaba lenzala phakathi kwe-China ne-US, ireyithi ye-RMB esembindini we-RMB kunye namaxabiso orhwebo asekhaya kunye namazwe angaphandle ake afika phezulu ukusukela ngo-Epreli ka-2018.
I-yuan yaqhubeka ikhula
Ngokutsho kweDatha yezeMali yeSina, i-CNH / USD izinga lokutshintshana livaliwe kwi-6.3550 ngoMsombuluko, i-6.3346 ngoLwesibili kunye ne-6.3312 ngoLwesithathu.Njengokuba ngexesha lokushicilela, i-CNH / USD izinga lotshintshiselwano licatshulwe kwi-6.3278 ngoLwesine, iphula i-6.3300.Izinga lokutshintsha kwe-CNH / USD liqhubekile nokunyuka.
Kukho izizathu ezininzi zokunyuka kwezinga lotshintshiselwano lwe-RMB.
Okokuqala, kukho imijikelo emininzi yokunyuswa kwenzala yi-Federal Reserve ngo-2022, kunye nolindelo lwemarike ye-50 yenqanaba lokunyuka kwezinga le-50 ngo-Matshi liqhubeka nokunyuka.
Njengoko i-Federal Reserve's rate rate yokunyuka isondela, ayikhange "ibethe" kwiimarike ezinkulu zaseMelika kuphela, kodwa ibangele ukuphuma kwezinye iimarike ezikhulayo.
Iibhanki eziphambili emhlabeni jikelele ziye zaphinda zaphakamisa inzala, ukukhusela iimali zabo kunye nenkunzi yangaphandle.Kwaye ngenxa yokuba ukukhula koqoqosho lwase-China kunye nokuveliswa kuhlala kunamandla, imali evela kumazwe angaphandle ayikaphumi ngamanani amakhulu.
Ukongeza, idatha yezoqoqosho "ebuthathaka" evela kwi-eurozone kwiintsuku zamva nje iqhubekile nokwenza buthathaka i-euro ngokuchasene ne-renminbi, inyanzelisa ireyithi ye-renminbi ye-offshore ukuba inyuke.
I-EURO zone ye-ZEW ye-economic sentiment index kaFebruwari, umzekelo, ifike kuma-48.6, ngaphantsi kunokuba bekulindelwe.Izinga layo lekota lesine elihlengahlengisiweyo lengqesho nalo “libi”, lihle nge-0.4 yeepesenti kwikota edlulileyo.
Umyinge wotshintshiselwano weYuan owomeleleyo
Intsalela yorhwebo yaseTshayina kwimpahla ngo-2021 yayingama-554.5 eebhiliyoni zeedola zase-US, inyuke nge-8% ukusuka ngo-2020, ngokwedatha yokuqala kwibhalansi yeentlawulo ezikhutshwe yi-State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE).Utyalo-mali oluthe ngqo lwaseTshayina lufikelele kuthi kwi-332.3 yeebhiliyoni zeedola, lunyuke nge-56%.
Ukususela ngoJanuwari ukuya kuDisemba ka-2021, intsalela efunyenweyo yokuhlawula imali yangaphandle kunye nokuthengiswa kweebhanki ifikelele kwi-267.6 yeebhiliyoni zeerandi, ulwando lonyaka ngonyaka oluphantse lube ngama-69%.
Nangona kunjalo, nokuba urhwebo kwimpahla kunye nentsalela yotyalo-mali oluthe ngqo lukhule kakhulu, ayiqhelekanga ukuba i-renminbi ixabise ngokuchasene nedola xa sijongana nexabiso lenzala elomeleleyo lokunyuka okulindelweyo kunye nokucuthwa kwenzala yaseTshayina.
Izizathu zezi zilandelayo: okokuqala, ukunyuka kwe-investment ye-China kuye kwamisa ukunyuka ngokukhawuleza koovimba botshintshiselwano lwangaphandle, okunokunciphisa uvakalelo lwe-RMB / i-dollar ye-dollar ye-dollar kwi-inzala ye-Sino-US.Okwesibini, ukukhawuleza ukusetyenziswa kwe-RMB kurhwebo lwamazwe ngamazwe kunokunciphisa uvakalelo lwe-RMB / i-USD yezinga lokutshintshiselana kwi-sino-US imilinganiselo yenzala.
Isabelo se-yuan seentlawulo zamazwe ngamazwe sikhuphuke kwirekhodi eliphezulu le-3.20% ngoJanuwari ukusuka kwi-2.70% ngoDisemba, xa kuthelekiswa ne-2.79% ngo-Agasti 2015, ngokwengxelo yakutshanje ye-SWIFT.Umgangatho wehlabathi weentlawulo ze-RMB zamazwe ngamazwe uhlala ukwindawo yesine kwihlabathi.
Ixesha lokuposa: Feb-18-2022